Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Q408 Asset Class Performance: The Worst Quarter in 20 Years

The following chart depicts asset class performance (based on major indices) for Q408. As expected, returns for the final quarter are quite dismal, even following a year-end rally in most markets in December. The following is of particular interest:
  • Investment grade bonds recovered following the October decline ending up 5% for the quarter
  • Commodities (on the aggregate), which had a stellar H108 and then plummeted, ended up for Q408
  • TIPS returned a -3% during Q408 as deflation expectations weighed on investment decisions
  • High Yield (as noted in a previous post) saw yield blown wide open, depressing prices considerably for the quarter and presenting attractive investment opportunities toward the second half of December
  • Equity markets saw their worst quarter in 20 years, with emerging market's taking the biggest hit as risk aversion dominated the period
  • Real estate, which lead the economic decline still rippling through the global economy, was down another 37% in Q4. It should fall further!

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